MADISON, WISCONSIN - In March, Chinese Premier Li Qiang announced an ambitious economic growth target of 5 percent for 2024. In a subsequent commentary, former World Bank chief economist Justin Yifu Lin endorsed the government’s target, predicting that China’s economy will grow at an average annual rate of 5-6 percent over the coming decade before slowing to 3-4 percent between 2036 and 2050. Lin also suggested that China could achieve high-income status in 2026, if not 2025. Given China’s bleak demographic outlook, this seems highly unlikely.
Monday 3 November 2025
ktimes En - 2 years ago
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